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Quote du Jour: Keynes

“The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.”

Apocryphally attributed to John Maynard Keynes

Posted in Quotes.


Quote du Jour: Sean Casey

“All the world’s a stage and most of us are desperately unrehearsed.”

Sean O’Casey

Posted in Quotes.


New Links

Pragmatic Captitalism – Resourced oriented site edited by Cullen Roche

New Urban Network – The Source for Urban Planning, Walkable Communities & Smart Growth

Carpe Diem -Professor Mark J. Perry’s Blog for Economics and Finance (University of Michigan)

Square Feet – Silicon Valley Commercial Real Estate Blog

Posted in Other Interesting.


Quote du Jour: Edna St. Vincent Millay

“Please give me some good advice in your next letter. I promise not to follow it.”

Edna St. Vincent Millay

Posted in Quotes.


New Links

Global Property Guide – Residential Info for Markets Around the World

Jesse’s Café Américain – Economic commentary

Brad DeLong – Grasping Realty with Our Minions, Our Machines, and Our Mental Powers – The Semi-Daily Journal of Economist J. Bradford DeLong: Fair, Balanced, Reality-Based, and Mulish

CondoVultures – Info on South Florida Condo Market

The Baseline Scenario – Economic commentary

The Psy-Fi Blog – Economics/Finance and Psychology

Real Estate Economy Watch – U.S. residential real estate information and commentary from Reecon Advisors

Posted in Other Interesting.


Quote du Jour: Yogi Berra

“In theory, there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice there is.”

Yogi Berra

As quoted in Econned by Yves Smith

Posted in Quotes.


Construction Loans Crumbling

Just a reminder that I said this in August 2008 Construction Loans Default and September 2008 Construction Loans Overwhelm Banks:

Reports filed by banks with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation indicate that at the end of June about one-sixth of all construction loans were in trouble. With more than half a trillion dollars in such loans outstanding, that represents a source of major losses for banks.”

Faltering Construction Loans = More Bad News for Banks – Barry Ritholtz – The Big Picture – 6 September 09

Deutsche Bank predicts that “construction loans will be the epicenter of bank loan problems”

Deutsche Bank: Construction Loan Defaults Coming – Barry Ritholtz – The Big Picture – 5 August 09

NY Times: One-sixth of Construction Loans in Trouble

Calculated Risk – 5 September 09

Posted in Real Estate Investing.


Sweetheart of a Deal

I love the last line: “The deal positioned Oxford to move forward with further acquisitions in the London market…..”    Just how many buildings with no income do they want to buy?

Nomura lands six-year London rent breakFinancial Times – Daniel Thomas – 31 August 2009

Nomura, the Japanese investment bank, will not pay any rent for almost six years on its new headquarters building in the City of London…

Mark Lethbridge, partner at Drivers Jonas and adviser to Nomura, said the transaction was the largest deal to date on a new office building in London. “We’ve secured this on terms I’m unlikely to see again in my career,” he added.

The landlord, Oxford Properties, is the property arm of an Ontario pension fund and UBS. It was advised by Knight Frank and CBRE…

The bank has signed a 20-year lease and agreed to an initial rent of about £40 per sq ft, lower than the rents of nearly £70 per sq ft demanded during the boom. But it will not have to pay any rent until 2015.

The deal positioned Oxford to move forward with further acquisitions in the London market, said Paul Brundage, Oxford vice-president.

Click here to read the full article

Posted in Real Estate Investing.


A Perfect Day

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Posted in Humour.


New York’s Addictive Economy

An interesting article about the role of human capital in New York’s economic development (albeit from – in my opinion – an overly conservative source). But the subtext is perhaps even more interesting referencing New York’s recovering from the American Revolution by exporting an aphrodisiac to China, then supplying sugar to an addicted US population, and finally the ultimate addictive aphrodisiac: money – with side trips about pirating books and the economic uplifting virtues of the brasserie.

The Reinventive City - City Journal - Edward L. Glaeser – 13 July 2009

…Over the centuries, New York City has survived crisis after crisis…But none of these shocks struck as hard as the American Revolution…after Cornwallis’s defeat at Yorktown…New York’s population declined by roughly 60 percent. The city’s trade model was also under attack, as British and Spanish colonies imposed severe restrictions on American commerce, leaving New York’s large shipping community empty-hulled.

The Revolution had, however, freed American merchants from the British East India Company’s monopoly on trade with China. One of them, Daniel Parker, learned that the Chinese were mad for ginseng, allegedly an aphrodisiac. He also knew that American ginseng, grown in Appalachia, cost far less than European, giving American shippers a decided advantage. Armed with this information, he launched a successful venture that, by sending a ship from New York to Canton and back in 1784 and 1785, established the viability of the China trade…

The harbor also encouraged the growth of industry, such as sugar refining, the city’s primary industry in the early nineteenth century…Manhattan’s largest industry today, printing and publishing, also grew out of its port…New York’s shipping prominence allowed the Harper brothers to get pirated British books before their Philadelphia competitors could…

the competitive maelstrom ignites industrial diversity and innovation. Forty years ago, Jane Jacobs pointed out that the brassiere was invented not by lingerie specialists but by an experimenting New York dressmaker…

Starting in the early 1970s, Michael Milken began convincing money managers that high-yield corporate debt, though it looked like junk, had high returns relative to its historical risk when bundled together into diversified portfolios…Meanwhile, Robert Dall was pioneering mortgage-backed securities at Salomon Brothers…

Click here for the full story

Posted in Finance & Economics, Planning & Design.